Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk

admin admin | 10-05 16:20

Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk
Oil prices rose on Friday and settled with their biggest weekly gains in over a year on the mounting threat of a region-wide war in the Middle East, although gains were limited as U.S. President Joe Biden discouraged Israel from targeting Iranian oil facilities.

Brent crude futures rose 43 cents, or 0.6 % , to settle at USD 78.05 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 67 cents, or 0.9 % , to close at USD 74.38 per barrel.


Oil prices jumped nearly 2 % during the session but pulled back sharply after Biden said that if he were in Israel's shoes he would consider alternatives to striking Iranian oil fields.

On Thursday, oil benchmarks surged over 5 % after Biden confirmed the U.S. was in talks with Israel over whether it would support a strike on Iranian energy infrastrucutre.

On a weekly basis, Brent crude gained over 8 % , the most in a week since January 2023. WTI gained 9.1 % week-over-week, the most since March 2023.

An attack on Iranian energy facilities would not be Israel's preferred course of action, JPMorgan commodities analysts wrote on Friday. Still, low levels of global oil inventories suggest that prices are set to be elevated until the conflict is resolved, they added.

Citing data from ship-tracking service Kpler, they said that inventories are below last year's levels when Brent was trading at USD 92 and at 4.4 billion barrels are the lowest on record.

Brokerage StoneX forecasts oil prices could jump between USD 3 and USD 5 per barrel if Iranian oil infrastructure is targeted.

On Friday, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei appeared in public for the first time since his country launched the missile attack. He called for more anti-Israel struggle.

Iran will target Israeli energy and gas installations if Israel attacks it, the semi-official Iranian news agency SNN quoted Revolutionary Guards deputy commander Ali Fadavi as saying.

Iran is a member of OPEC+ with production of around 3.2 million barrels per day or 3 % of global output. The group's spare production capacity should allow other members to boost output if Iranian supplies are disrupted, limiting oil price gains, Rystad analysts said on Thursday.

Supply fears have also eased in Libya. The country's eastern-based government and Tripoli-based National Oil Corp on Thursday said all oilfields and export terminals were being reopened after a dispute over leadership of the central bank was resolved.

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